“A Preponderance of Evidence Shows That The May 09,
2022 Election Was Rigged”
(Position paper by Ret. Brig. Gen. Eliseo M. Rio Jr.,
Former Acting Secretary, DICT, Former NTC Commissioner)
“Rigged? 2022 polls illegally used private internet
address” (Jarius Bondoc’s Philstar column banner)
“Lingering doubts about the 2022 election” (Randy
David’s Inquirer column banner)
The clear-cut message of the three banners above can
be put in a nutshell by David’s bottom line:
“The more they ignore the man, the more he starts to
make sense.”
The “man” is Ret. Brig. Gen. Eliseo M. Rio Jr. whose
position paper, “A Preponderance of Evidence Shows That The May 09, 2022
Election Was Rigged” cited 10 reasons that the election was full of anomalies
and discrepancies showing the election was rigged, and 8 unusual events before
and after the election that could have led to a fraudulent election process.
Jarius Bondoc, highlighting Rio’s presentation
“Uncovering the Biggest Scam in our Electoral History,” wrote that the “bulk of
Metro Manila and two provinces ’precinct results of the election ‘illegally’
came from one private IP (Internet Protocol) address.”
“That’s proof of election rigging,” says Rio. For
example, 98.8 percent of Metro Manila precinct results were received from only
one private IP address, 192.168.0.2. In the same way as Cavite, Batangas, and
in all other provinces that “mysteriously” sent results within an hour of
balloting’s end at 7 p.m.
While Bondoc spotlighted the use of an “illegal”
address, David, accenting the lightning speed, writes,
“On May 9, 2022, the day the nation voted for its
president only 22,963 out of over 106,174 clustered precincts nationwide (or
about 22 percent) had officially reported the end of voting as of 7 p.m. This
was what election commissioner Marlon Casquejo told reporters at 7:35 that
evening. Everyone prepared for a long night.
“Yet, by 8:17 p.m., nearly 47 percent of all precincts
not only had reported closing the polls, but had, in fact, already transmitted
election results to the Commission on Elections (Comelec) transparency servers.
“While pleasantly surprised by the lightning speed at
which the results were being transmitted by the nation’s polling precincts,
many were soon bothered by what they were seeing.”
While the above discussion has focused on the technical
aspects of this controversy, let me present three pieces of anecdotal evidence -- crowd, endorsements, and survey-media nostradamic prediction -- I excerpted from my previous ATABAY articles that could reinforce Rio’s
position paper:
CROWD
“Robredo’s birthday rally crowd hit 412,000, organizers say” (CNN Philippines, Apr 23, 2022)
CNN Philippines reported that the local organizers estimated the throng to be 412,000 as of 7:30 p.m. with the Saturday event still ongoing.
Being aware then of the crowd estimate contention, I
evaluated using Jacob’s Method Leni’s Pasay rally which is easy because of the
rectangular flat area of the Macapagal Boulevard rally site, and came up to
404,040 crowd.
The heart of the matter. That same night in the National
Capital Region, a similar event was taking place in Sampaloc – Marcos Jr.’s
rally. It afforded us a rare opportunity in comparing the two rallies by placing VP
Leni’s crowd of 412,000 side by side with that of Marcos Jr’s crowd of 14,000. The following banner could have been the “Breaking News” for the next day then
– the gist of which was a quiet birthday gift to Leni: “Leni’s Rally Dwarfs
29-Fold Marcos Jr’s Crowd.”
A cold hard fact: Statistics-wise, the typical sample
size of 1200 survey participants is a drop in the bucket against the bulk of the population
size of the National Capital Region that very night which had the option to attend either of the two rallies taking place within the
same area, date, and time.
LENI'S ENDORSEMENTS
160 Economists
plus 5 former NEDA chiefs & former CB deputy governor
150+ Law deans and
professors nationwide
180,000-member
Alliance of Concerned Teachers
1,000+ Educators
of the La Salle schools in the country
400 Educators of
the University of Santo Tomas
300 Faculty
Members and Staff of the San Beda University
250 Alumni of the Asian
Institute of Management
150+ Human Rights
Lawyers (FLAG, SALIGAN, ALG, UPL)
130 Former
Officials & Staff of Philippines Commission on Women (PCW)
700+ Doctors,
Nurses, and Frontliners from Cavite
23 Former
President Fidel V. Ramos government officials
47 Former
President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo government officials
95 Former
President Benigno Aquino Jr. administration government officials
16 Former
Presidents of the Philippine Bar Association
Current &
Former Heads/Presidents of Schools, Colleges, and Universities
Individual Faculty
Members & Staff of Ateneo Professional Schools
PHILRECA Party
List (represents 121 electric cooperatives, 23 FVR officials)
Pamalakaya
(Fishermen’s group)
Makabayan
Pinunong Pinay
Power
Kilusang Mayo Uno
The Alliance of
Labor Leaders for Leni (All4Leni)
Federation of Free
Workers
Nagkakaisa at
Progresibong Manggagawa, Kapatiran sa 2 Gulong
National Union of
Bank Employees
National Congress
of Unions in the Sugar Industry
4 Women Leaders of
Indigenous Tribes from Mindanao
Panayanon and
Panay Bukidnon IPs and Indigenous Cultural Community
Leni Urban Poor
(15-organization coalition)
Alyansa
Agricultura
Bangsamoro
Supports Leni for Justice and Peace
Human Rights Vote
2022 (a coalition of HRDs, activists, and human rights groups)
Five National
Artists of the Philippines
The LGBTQ+
community
First Ko Si Leni
coalition
Katipunan ng
Nagkakaisang Pilipino
Seniors for Leni
Students for Leni
(student councils nationwide)
1Sambayan
Lipa Archdiocesan
Council of the Laity
Council of the
Laity of Calapan in Oriental Mindoro
Council of the
Laity of the Apostolic Vicariate of Taytay
100+ members of the
religious order Society of Jesus
Pari Madre
Misyonero Para Kay Leni (Religious men and women in Philippines)
Sangguniang Laiko
ng Pilipinas
Missionary
Benedictine Sisters of St. Scholastica’s Priory
Couples For Christ
International Council
Ang Ligaya ng
Panginoon community
Tahanan ng Panginoon
community
This relatively long list of endorsing organizations does not lie.
SURVEY-MEDIA NOSTRADAMIC PREDICTION
“In the past, the
correspondence between pre-election survey results and actual election returns
was considered concrete proof of the increasing accuracy of polling techniques
and their predictive power. Today, it is employed as unassailable confirmation
of the truthfulness of election results. The irony is inescapable.” (Randy
David)
Here are the excerpts of my post-election ATABAY
article “Democracy Can Exist Only On Trust.”
><><
Disclaimer: This post intends to seek the truth to
strengthen our democracy. I love St. Augustine’s definition of Truth: “The
Truth is like a lion. You don’t have to defend it. Let it loose. It will defend
itself.”
I am an engineer so what you will read is an insight
from an engineer’s mind.
Here we go.
The numbers and percentages invited my interest in
Rigoberto Tiglao’s column banner “60% Marcos win likely, 70% very doable” last
April 22, 2022, in The Manila Times.
Seventeen days before the election, the following
statement was made that caught my eye:
“There
is no doubt at this point that Marcos will be winning the presidency, getting
at the very least 50% of votes, which means 16 MILLION more votes than Leni
Robredo’s if she gets 20 percent.”
Last
night, I checked one newspaper PhilStar and got the following unofficial tally:
As of
May 10, 1:32 pm Tuesday, 97.59% of votes were transmitted.
Marcos
Jr. - 30,922,344
VP
Robredo - 14,743,588
Difference - 16,178, 756
Today,
I checked CNN Philippines tally, and 98.21% of votes transmitted.
Marcos
Jr. - 31,068,061
VP
Robredo - 14, 805,815
Difference - 16,262,246
Wow!
Mr. Tiglao accurately predicted the 16 MILLION difference in votes between
Marcos Jr. and VP Robredo 17 days before the election! It’s a mathematical feat
that involves 3 variables: a) the total number of voters who would vote on May
9, b) the total number of voters who would vote for Marcos Jr., and c) the total
number of voters who would vote for VP Robredo.
On top
of the complex 3-unknowns problem, here’s Tiglao’s amazing calculation of the
16 million votes difference due to Marcos Jr. taking away from Robredo’s votes:
Robredo
soft votes - 5 million
Command
votes - 1
Bandwagon
effect
- 6
Election
Day collapse - 4
Total
May 9 - 16 million
Wow!
Seventeen days before the election, Tiglao was able to quantify what will
exactly take place on May 9. He was able to predict and quantify the following:
5
million minds of Robredo’s soft voters would shift to Marcos Jr.
1
million minds of Robredo’s command votes would shift to Marcos Jr.
6
million minds would join the Marcos Jr.’s bandwagon
4
million minds would just “collapse.” (No concrete idea what this means)
Frankly,
that was a spectacular feat.
Takeaways:
If the election is fair, honest, and clean, then I
will take my hat off to Mr. Tiglao for such an exceptional mind. I was an
admirer of Mr. Tiglao and Mr. Conrado De Quiros when both were Inquirer
columnists many years ago.
Just as OCTA Research was congratulated “for being the
new reliable player in the industry, its detailed pre-election
polling…frighteningly accurate,” so too was Mr. Tiglao for being the modern-day
Nostradamus.
If it is not fair, honest, and clean, to reiterate
PRRD’s call, the conduct of the May 9 election must be investigated to seek the
Truth, to disabuse people’s minds, and hence, strengthen our democracy.
><><
The one formidable thing that Rio has to surmount, to
the bitter end, in his lonesome pursuit for truth, is embedded in the marrow of
this anecdote:
The teacher writes a word in big bold letters on the blackboard.
Student 1: Hey, dude, what’s that word?
Student 2. Dunno, man.
Student 1. Whatever, nobody cares anyway.
The word is APATHY.
“Apathy is the acceptance of the unacceptable.” (John Stott)
Head collage photos courtesy of Wikipedia & Rare HD Wallpapers Video clips courtesy of YouTube
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